Google has posted its latest Authors@Google talk featuring statistician Nate Silver, who discusses his book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don't, with Google's chief economist Hal Varian. Silver talks about the recent DIY approach to data aggregation, and how news outlets' desire for exclusivity often prevents them from providing their readers with proper context and all the available data. He also likens the uncertainty of making predictionsespecially for electionsto playing poker or predicting a hurricane's path. To find out more about Silver's methods and how he plans to address the possibility that his highly credible predictions could, in fact, alter future events, watch the full talk below.