Do you think the first iPad will get iOS 6?

This is obviously impossible to know, but I'm curious what your guess is.

I've listet some arguments below, if you have more, feel free to add:

  • Usually iOS Devices only get two major updates (iPhone 3G: shipped with iOS 2, got updated to iOS 3 and iOS 4), the original iPad shipped with iOS 3, so iOS 5 should be the last one.
  • But: The iPad 1 was released between the release of iOS 3 and iOS 4. So maybe iOS 3 only was put on it because iOS 4 was not ready?
  • iPad 1 has the same Chip as the iPhone 4, which will get updated to iOS 6. But the first iPad does only have 256 MB of RAM, whereas the iPhone has 512. Maybe the iPad will get a stripped-down version (like the iPhone 3G got with iOS 4?)?
I like speculations :)