Predicting the Retina iPad Mini release date
The title says it all - when do you guys expect the iPad Mini with Retina Display to be released?
Apple of course provided a launch window of "Later in November", and it is widely acknowledged that they are struggling to ramp up enough stock to meet anticipated demand from Day One. All things being equal, therefore, one might have expected them to launch at the very end of the month, meeting their self-imposed deadline whilst allowing maximum production time. That would probably mean Friday 29 November.
However, all things are not equal, and the last week in November would be a difficult time to launch for several reasons:
- There is an unusual triple-whammy of holiday events on Weds 27th - Fri 29th; namely, Hanukkah, Thanksgiving and Black Friday.
- Launching a supply-constrained Retina Mini during the biggest shopping week of the year will result in many disappointed customers walking away empty handed. It would also be a huge distraction from the rest of Apple's line-up.
- Frankly, if Apple can't make enough Retina Minis to satisfy everyone, then they are better off their available stock before Black Friday, leaving their unsatisfied potential buyers with some time to reconsider an alternative seasonal purchase (such as the Air) during the Black Friday week.
- Furthermore, Apple HQ is completely shut down for that final week in November. Whilst retail etc remain open during this period (obviously!), it still seems unlikely that Apple would be willing to launch a significant new piece of hardware at a time when 1 Infinite Loop was closed down!
So... as far as I can tell, all this points to a launch on Thursday 21st or Friday 22nd. Even sooner would be great, but I think unlikely.
What do you reckon?