Total Windows Device Sales in Decline

http://www.theverge.com/2013/5/7/4306292/windows-8-100-million-license-sales

Let's talk about the above link.

People have been denying the results of the IDC left and right. But they not only agree with what Microsoft has been saying, they actually make a further point that needs to be considered going forward.

http://www.theverge.com/2013/4/26/4265182/windows-8-sales-after-six-months-are-a-mystery

In this link, people were quick to dismiss the IDCs claims. But the problem is that we aren't looking at the same data set presented in the same way that the IDC draws its conclusions from.

Idc-tablets-q1-2013-1-1367436365_medium

via www.blogcdn.com

I saw this recently, and decided to do a little bit of historical analysis.

So I went back through every IDC post from every quarter for as much as I could get. I recorded relevant pieces of data from each, which I will now provide here:

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via i.imgur.com

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via i.imgur.com

This is the data that the IDC is using when they make their assertion that Windows 8 sales are suffering. They're not ignoring tablet sales; even if you include tablet sales, Windows device sales are down overall.

So it's no wonder Windows 8 is having such slow adoption rates (as others have pointed out): device sales are dropping like a stone.

What's the reason for this, you might ask? I can only speculate. Needless to say, one thing we can conclude from this data is that Windows 8 has not only *not* stopped the decline in the desktop market, but it has actually *accelerated* this decline. Secondly, people aren't picking up Windows based tablets as fast as they're failing to pick up Windows 8 devices.

Speculation abounds: do people not like Windows 8 in its current form? Hopefully Windows 8.1 will fix some of that. Do people not see the utility of non-tablet touchscreen devices? Do people not like having a touch-optimized interface on a computer dominantly controlled by mouse and keyboard?

Perhaps what can reverse this trend is if Windows OEMs pump out some truly different and new devices, devices that challenge the status quo instead of simply slapping a touchscreen onto every device that comes their way.