Predicting the future is hard. In 2011, analysts at both IDC and Gartner predicted Windows Mobile and BlackBerry would together hold between 30 and 36 percent of the smartphone marketshare by the year 2015 (it’s actually around 3 percent). And that’s just a four-year forecast — imagine the margin of error when trying to predict events 50 years into the future.
In the 1950 and 60s, the futurists at Popular Science magazine were positive that jetpacks would propel us between floating cities by the year 2000. Wrong — so very, very wrong. But like a disappointed doomsayer who awakens to the light of a new day, futurologists have just shifted the date forward to 2050 — a year that’s far enough away to feel futuristic but still within reach of the generation that’ll inherit the Earth
A new study made headlines just a few days ago by laying out a 50-state strategy that would break the US’s addiction to oil by — you guessed it — 2050. Great, I hope it happens. But 2050 is going to be a very busy year.
It’s the year by which most Americans will physically resemble the melting pot metaphor they like to use.
But we’ll still have a space elevator to marvel at.
2050 is also the date of the singularity — the moment in time when humanity is plunged into irreversible change thanks to advances in artificial intelligence.
So if the future does actually arrive in 2050 it doesn't look like we'll have much of a future anyway.
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While Apple was working on its Watch, Nokia had its own ideas about smartwatches. Sources familiar with Nokia's plans tell The Verge that the Finnish company was developing a "Moonraker" smartwatch that leveraged many of the aesthetics of the modern Windows Phone design.
Google has quietly launched a new tool named Which Phone to help people find the Android handset that's right for them. The tool asks you to select the three activities you most often use your phone for (choices include calling, texting, gaming, music, photos, and "expressing my style") and how frequently you use it for that. Then, Google does a bit of thinking and offers a choice of three handsets as well as links to start shopping.
The very first thing I did in the Oculus Rift — the first thing most of us at The Verge, did, actually — was walk around a spaceship with a gamepad. It was a simpler time, when all most people expected out of VR was a cool way to play games. Now, more than two years after that first trip into virtual reality, Oculus has announced its final product... and we're back to where we started, with games. But that's a good thing.
The process has been complicated, in part, by the fact that many of the men and women who assembled the car had signed their names all over its parts. Their signatures were discovered in April, when the car was first taken apart, and they forced GM to rethink its strategy in order to save all of the parts and preserve their names.
After the news that Dick Costolo is stepping down as CEO of Twitter, the hunt is on to find his replacement and so far, there's only one viable candidate: Snoop D-O-double-G.